Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.669891 0.862465 1.079604 1.339614 1.639550 1.971887 2.365128
2025-05-11 0.383054 0.612224 0.906365 1.297848 1.791764 2.381586 3.126307
2025-05-18 0.230642 0.465245 0.808129 1.310230 1.992668 2.856397 4.000198
2025-05-25 0.126927 0.338887 0.696743 1.273332 2.113013 3.231232 4.772323
2025-06-01 0.081233 0.283589 0.671244 1.345145 2.378249 3.804644 5.824954
2025-06-08 0.044914 0.221319 0.612830 1.350579 2.541234 4.243317 6.716629
2025-06-15 0.029354 0.196555 0.614003 1.448630 2.844887 4.888349 7.908389
2025-06-22 0.017020 0.167508 0.596230 1.507826 3.088383 5.454914 9.009272
2025-06-29 0.008401 0.137526 0.565056 1.534888 3.278067 5.947102 10.018597
2025-07-06 0.002764 0.103479 0.509005 1.502521 3.362722 6.282093 10.811159
2025-07-13 0.000826 0.084135 0.483288 1.524527 3.537138 6.755459 11.811592
2025-07-20 0.000123 0.067612 0.457482 1.540493 3.698994 7.212091 12.796322
2025-07-27 NaN 0.047442 0.406990 1.494643 3.750226 7.504259 13.559189
2025-08-03 NaN 0.031448 0.357558 1.439981 3.778717 7.759523 14.273537
2025-08-10 NaN 0.023357 0.335667 1.448289 3.925146 8.208885 15.289888
2025-08-17 NaN 0.014729 0.297976 1.406235 3.968531 8.488579 16.053270
2025-08-24 NaN 0.012799 0.302565 1.481705 4.249899 9.171693 17.448955
2025-08-31 NaN 0.008853 0.284096 1.486812 4.387630 9.616310 18.484000
2025-09-07 NaN 0.008407 0.297999 1.591079 4.734947 10.424539 20.097646
2025-09-14 NaN 0.006934 0.298530 1.653977 4.998232 11.094873 21.506237
2025-09-21 NaN 0.005023 0.288810 1.682698 5.190203 11.646755 22.737622
2025-09-28 NaN 0.002699 0.261566 1.648167 5.243668 11.959234 23.596188
2025-10-05 NaN 0.001743 0.252108 1.671581 5.423314 12.494899 24.815464